Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 1.690934 2.105942 2.648394 3.432217 4.577514 6.264739 9.102753
2025-02-02 1.199750 1.664251 2.379598 3.651126 6.096101 11.308521 26.557787
2025-02-09 0.921993 1.361936 2.110643 3.638508 7.250125 17.969993 79.588415
2025-02-16 0.741183 1.139856 1.864524 3.493487 8.004600 26.012321 278.161350
2025-02-23 0.643151 1.026064 1.766127 3.594745 9.584213 44.198432 4717.615414
2025-03-02 0.578160 0.953195 1.719871 3.794073 11.888171 87.079585 NaN
2025-03-09 0.515982 0.870892 1.626642 3.816609 13.680494 163.536590 NaN
2025-03-16 0.455384 0.779919 1.488973 3.637111 14.316001 261.626502 NaN
2025-03-23 0.424908 0.744319 1.470776 3.835032 17.761278 897.380574 NaN
2025-03-30 0.392289 0.698472 1.415629 3.879469 20.545835 4231.326339 NaN
2025-04-06 0.358680 0.645422 1.330109 3.769303 21.972793 33218.855219 NaN
2025-04-13 0.330979 0.601584 1.259746 3.688710 23.730586 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 0.320706 0.595836 1.292785 4.079956 33.567353 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.307050 0.580454 1.296032 4.355752 45.215428 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.287665 0.549008 1.245503 4.339086 52.100532 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.266828 0.511711 1.170396 4.154307 54.028553 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.254806 0.494307 1.152920 4.283161 68.619167 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.246100 0.483910 1.155237 4.537863 96.755557 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.234223 0.464231 1.123713 4.566743 118.288427 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.219395 0.435690 1.058229 4.337182 118.245274 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.213129 0.428301 1.062302 4.590366 177.476450 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.204532 0.414012 1.040206 4.647389 231.070727 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.194102 0.394029 0.995106 4.506138 250.045348 NaN NaN